A Powerful concept:SES vs LES

Imagine many, many decades ago, a researcher was looking at a new finding: chemical nitrate has just been foundto help plant growth. Virtually no quasntitative research has been done, so this researcher forges ahead in breaking the frontiers of science and plans his big experiment!

He plants many identical plots of corn, and on a group of randomly selected plots, he puts no nitrate. On another group of randomly selected plots, he puts 5kg of nitrate. On the next group of randomly selected plots, he put 10 kg, and so on and so on until the last group of plots gets 25kg.

His experiment works well, and when he gathers the harvests and measures them, he finds the following relationship becomes plain:

Plots with 5 kg of nitrate..........................5% increase in yield

...............10kg.......................................10%......

...............15kg.......................................15%.....

...............20kg.......................................20%.................

Plots with 25 kg of nitrate........................25% increase in yield

Now this background will help everyone understand the difference between SES (short extrapolation science) and LES (long extrapolation science):

If the scientist believes in SES only and you ask what the yield will be if I put 26 kg on a plot, he will say, "It's outside of the range of our data, but there is a good chance that it will result in about a 26% yield increase".

If you ask him about 30kg, he will say, "Well we're getting way outside our dataset here. The answer could be 30% but we have no certainty. We have to run experiments for certianty".

However if the scientist believes in LES  and you ask what the yield will be if I put 26 kg on a plot, he will say confidently, "It will result in about a 26% yield increase".

If you ask him about 30kg, he will say, "We have a straight line graph. It will certainly be 30%".

In fact, if you ask him about 300kg, he will say, "We have a straight line graph. It will certainly be 300%".

Now you may think that the LES scientist has an excuse that he doesn't fully understand the operation of nitrate and why it works, and why it wouldn't work in massive amounts.

But consider this: standard paradigm physicists claim that all phenomena are esentially explained by atoms and 4  forces: gravity, electromagnetism, strong and weak nuclear.  But they DON'T KNOW what cuases them. We have been measuring gravity for 500 years, but I calculated to arrive at the (supposed) big bang 15 billion yrs ago, you must do aan extrapolation outside your dataset of 30 million percent (All that on a force when you don't know what causes it!!!!!!!)

In short, the use of LES in both the above examples is ABSOLUTE STUPIDITY!!!!!!!